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Mega Millions vs Powerball: Which Has Better Odds?
Comparison
January 27, 2026
7 min read

Mega Millions vs Powerball: Which Has Better Odds?

The ultimate showdown between America's two biggest lotteries.

America's two lottery giants go head-to-head. Both offer life-changing jackpots, both draw twice a week, and both have made countless millionaires. But when you're choosing which ticket to buy, which one gives you better value?

Jackpot Odds Comparison

🟡 Mega Millions1 in 302,575,350
🔴 Powerball1 in 292,201,338

Powerball has slightly better jackpot odds—about 10 million to one better. That's a small edge, but over millions of tickets, it matters.

Ticket Cost and Value

Both games cost $2 per play. Mega Millions' Megaplier and Powerball's Power Play both cost an extra $1 and can multiply non-jackpot prizes by 2x-5x. The multiplier features are roughly equivalent in expected value.

Secondary Prize Comparison

This is where differences emerge. Powerball's Match 5 (no Powerball) prize is fixed at $1 million. Mega Millions" Match 5 (no Mega Ball) is also $1 million. But the odds differ: Powerball's Match 5 odds are 1 in 11.7 million vs Mega Millions" 1 in 12.6 million.

The Verdict

Mathematically, Powerball has a slight edge due to better jackpot odds and better Match 5 odds. However, when Mega Millions has a significantly larger jackpot, the expected value calculation can flip. The smart play is to check current jackpot sizes and play whichever has the higher jackpot-to-odds ratio.

View our analysis for both: Powerball | Mega Millions

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